Or maybe they will launch Win 12 with optional TPM support.

Imho making the OS(es) TPM only cannot be good for their business, many people are still on Win 10 with no intention to switch, since their motheboard does not support TPM and do not want to upgrade PC / waste PCI-E slot on TPM extension.

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making the OS(es) TPM only cannot be good for their business, many people are still on Win 10 with no intention to switch

The switch from Win 10 to Win 11 costs nothing, so Microsoft doesn’t care at all whether you keep using 10 until your PC dies.
The next one you buy will come with 11 preinstalled.

Microsoft doesn’t care if you install Linux either.
You’ve already paid for the Windows license when you bought the PC.

So don’t pay for windows, get it unactivated and use MAS to activate it.

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